Early Voting Rises in Key Senate States: What the Numbers Reveal Before Election Day

Early voting is increasing across several states expected to influence control of the U.S. Senate, offering an early indication of voter engagement ahead of the November 3, 2026, midterm elections.

An Associated Press analysis published October 21 found that early voting in Texas was up 74% compared with the same point in 2022. Kansas more than doubled its early vote, while Maine, North Carolina and Ohio recorded increases exceeding 30%. Nationally, more than 13 million early and mail ballots had been cast, compared with approximately 9 million at the same stage of the previous midterm election.

Battleground States Draw Attention

The increased participation comes as Democrats seek to win Republican-held Senate seats in several competitive states. Ohio, for example, has closely contested races for the Senate, House and governor, drawing substantial campaign spending and voter attention.

Maine has also recorded a notable increase in early voting as Republican Senator Susan Collins faces Democrat Troy Jackson. However, the numbers vary across the country. Early voting in Michigan and Georgia remains high but is broadly comparable with 2022, while Iowa has recorded a decline of about 6% at the same point in the election cycle.

What Is Driving Turnout?

The economy is a central issue in the campaign. Voters are weighing the cost of living, fuel prices and the impact of the conflict involving Iran. Immigration, health care and the direction of the federal government are also contributing to political debate.

The high-profile races have attracted significant campaign spending, particularly in states where Democrats see opportunities to challenge Republican incumbents. Yet early voting figures alone cannot establish which party is likely to win.

Differences in voting laws, the availability of mail ballots and how states report their data can affect comparisons with previous elections. A rise in turnout may also reflect increased interest among voters from both parties.

A Snapshot, Not a Prediction

Early voting provides an important measure of participation, but it is not a reliable standalone forecast of election results. The political significance of the figures will depend on who turns out, how those voters cast their ballots and how many people vote on Election Day.

With control of Congress at stake, both parties are watching closely as additional ballots are counted. The final results on November 3 will determine whether Republicans retain their congressional majorities or Democrats gain the seats needed to shift the balance of power in Washington.